Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Mladost Lucani — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Backa Topola
SIRP
2-1
HT 2-0
Mladost Lucani
SIRP
2-5
HT 1-2
Backa Topola
SIRP
2-0
HT 1-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
Backa Topola 1-2 Mladost Lucani — Actual Match Statistics
Mladost Lucani nicked a narrow win over Backa Topola 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Backa Topola at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Backa Topola had 76% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 24%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.59 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Backa Topola.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Backa Topola and 1.50 for Mladost Lucani.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Backa Topola 1-2 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Mladost Lucani?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 61%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Backa Topola), BTTS No went the other way.