Pendikspor 0-2 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.66
X/X
8%
4.5
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
17%
5.0
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · X/2 at 6.66 — our 16% vs market 11.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+9.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.47/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.39
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
19.5 Crosses 5.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
0-2
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.99 xG 1.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
471 Passes 183
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
35 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK got the better of Pendikspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Iğdır FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pendikspor had 67% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 33%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 0.99 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK?

Pendikspor 0-2 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 40%, draw 22%, Iğdır FK 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pendikspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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