MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
6%
7.75
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
17%
6.01
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +36%
1.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.34
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.1 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 333
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
22.10.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
08.04.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-2 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
08.10.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.02.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
16.09.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.95 xG 0.96
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
226 Passes 358
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü squeezed past İstanbulspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 42% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 58%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.17 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor?

MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 44%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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