Giresunspor 1-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giresunspor The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giresunspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.11.2012 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Giresunspor Giresunspor S2-K
POST-MATCH Giresunspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giresunspor nicked a narrow win over Nazilli Belediyespor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Giresunspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Giresunspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Giresunspor 1-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giresunspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giresunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Giresunspor 48%, draw 23%, Nazilli Belediyespor 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giresunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Giresunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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