Bangkok United 3-2 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.87/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.60
+9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
18.4 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 188
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-2 HT 2-1 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
06.11.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
3-2
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.27 xG 1.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
349 Passes 337
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bangkok United had 49% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.27 to 1.88 — on chances, Lamphun Warrior could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bangkok United and 1.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Bangkok United 3-2 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 57%, draw 27%, Lamphun Warrior 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United)
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