Buriram United 3-0 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
82%
-24.7pp
20%
Draw
11%
+9.1pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+15.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
1.98/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
+5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
21.2 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.13 xG 0.43
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
477 Passes 211
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
3-0
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.31 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
420 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United swept aside Nakhon Pathom 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Buriram United had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 37%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.31 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Buriram United 3-0 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 57%, draw 20%, Nakhon Pathom 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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