Başakşehir FK 5-2 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Sep 2024

Başakşehir FK
5-2 HT 1-2
Antalyaspor
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
21%
4.2
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
8%
6.55
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.54/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.0 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 0.82
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
450 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
29.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
21.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
27.12.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
14.03.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.10.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 5-2 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
5-2
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.66 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
308 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK cruised past Antalyaspor 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 54% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.66 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor?

Başakşehir FK 5-2 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 51%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK)
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