Başakşehir FK 1-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

Başakşehir FK
1-0 HT 0-0
Antalyaspor
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.2
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
21%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.22
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.51
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.2 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.86 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
483 Passes 312
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
21.05.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
27.12.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
14.03.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.10.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
27.02.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.38 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
402 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK edged past Antalyaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Başakşehir FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 59% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.38 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor?

Başakşehir FK 1-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 40%, draw 28%, Antalyaspor 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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