Sivasspor 1-2 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.06
6+ Goals
13%
19.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
9%
5.78
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
30.0
2/2
18%
4.19
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.29
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.0 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 434
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
31.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.08.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TÜK
25.04.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-2
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.80 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 358
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor squeezed past Sivasspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Alanyaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 50% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 50%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sivasspor and 0.67 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor?

Sivasspor 1-2 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 40%, draw 26%, Alanyaspor 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sivasspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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