Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trabzonspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Trabzonspor
TSL
4-1
HT 3-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
4-1
HT 2-1
Trabzonspor
TSL
1-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
0-2
HT 0-1
Trabzonspor
TSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Trabzonspor 5-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Trabzonspor ran out comfortable winners over Fatih Karagümrük 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Trabzonspor had 67% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 33%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 3.09 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.00 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Trabzonspor 5-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 47%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.