Rancho Santana 2-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.9pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -42%
1.68/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.93
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 4-0 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
11.08.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana nicked a narrow win over Jalapa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rancho Santana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rancho Santana and 0.50 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Rancho Santana 2-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rancho Santana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 42%, draw 19%, Jalapa 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rancho Santana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rancho Santana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
1 Sep 2025
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