Gaddafi vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gaddafi v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
Gaddafi vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Gaddafi 2-1 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics
Gaddafi found just enough to beat UPDF 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Gaddafi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Gaddafi had 61% of the ball to UPDF's 39%, shots finished 13-13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gaddafi and 1.50 for UPDF.
Gaddafi vs UPDF Result & Final Score
Gaddafi 2 - 1 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gaddafi vs UPDF Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Gaddafi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 56%, draw 27%, UPDF 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaddafi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.