The New Saints U19 0-4 Zalgiris U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.58
2-3
34%
1.9
4-5
32%
2.88
6+
12%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.37
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.46
X/2
8%
8.38
X/X
10%
5.64
2/1
5%
21.3
2/2
20%
5.68
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
18.09.2024 Zalgiris U19 3-2 HT 1-2 The New Saints U19 The New Saints U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints U19
0-4
AWAY Zalgiris U19
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH The New Saints U19 vs Zalgiris U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris U19 cruised past The New Saints U19 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was The New Saints U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of The New Saints U19 vs Zalgiris U19?

The New Saints U19 0-4 Zalgiris U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints U19 vs Zalgiris U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split The New Saints U19 46%, draw 22%, Zalgiris U19 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (The New Saints U19), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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