CA Penarol 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.47/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.84
-10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
17.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
03.12.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
09.05.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.10.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.09.2015 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol and Racing Club Montevideo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 65% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 35%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA Penarol and 1.17 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?

CA Penarol 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 48%, draw 27%, Racing Club Montevideo 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5
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