CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
0-2
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
3-3
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
2-2
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
CA Penarol 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol and Racing Club Montevideo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 54% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 46%, shots finished 11-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CA Penarol and 1.33 for Racing Club Montevideo.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?
CA Penarol 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 50%, draw 22%, Racing Club Montevideo 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.