Boston River 0-2 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.6
Over 2.5
53%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.35/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.13
+11% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
03.12.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.05.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
05.09.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
20.07.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
25.02.2022 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
0-2
AWAY Cerro Largo
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo saw off Boston River 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cerro Largo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Boston River had 62% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 38%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Boston River 0-2 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boston River 38%, draw 24%, Cerro Largo 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
17 Jun 2024
00:00 CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Analysis →