Inter Miami 3-5 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.46
Over 2.5
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.9pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+9.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
2.06/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.86
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
13.4 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 1.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
437 Passes 345
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
01.09.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-4 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
05.10.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
11.09.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-5
AWAY Chicago Fire
3.04 xG 2.39
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
576 Passes 300
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire beat Inter Miami 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Inter Miami carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 64% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 36%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 3.04 to 2.39 — on chances, Inter Miami could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Inter Miami and 2.00 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Inter Miami 3-5 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 61%, draw 18%, Chicago Fire 21%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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