Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2024

Chicago Fire
1-4 HT 0-1
Inter Miami
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.4
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
10%
5.88
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
24.85
2/2
19%
3.57
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 14% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chicago Fire v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.39/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.52
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.1 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
05.10.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
11.09.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
27.02.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
19.08.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD

Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
1-4
AWAY Inter Miami
1.41 xG 2.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
401 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami ran out comfortable winners over Chicago Fire 4-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 1 Sep 2024. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 50% of the ball to Inter Miami's 50%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.41 to 2.18.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.50 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?

Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 40%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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