TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
TransMara Sugar v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals
Nairobi United edged past TransMara Sugar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was TransMara Sugar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi United?
TransMara Sugar 0-1 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Nairobi United?
Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 43%, draw 30%, Nairobi United 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (TransMara Sugar) went the other way.