Police 0-0 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.63
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
35%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.22
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Police Police 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
20.10.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-0 Police Police KEN
04.03.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
23.01.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 2-2 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN2
19.01.2022 Police Police 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
0-0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Police vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police and Ulinzi Stars played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Police at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Police had 49% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 51%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ulinzi Stars led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Police and 0.60 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Police vs Ulinzi Stars?

Police 0-0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Police 41%, draw 32%, Ulinzi Stars 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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