Tusker vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Mathare United
KEN2
Tusker and Mathare United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tusker at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tusker and 1.00 for Mathare United.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Mathare United?
Tusker 0-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Mathare United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tusker 55%, draw 26%, Mathare United 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tusker) went the other way.