KFUM Oslo 2-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.73
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
21%
4.36
6+
7%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.17
X/2
7%
8.31
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
14%
7.05
2/X
11%
15.9
Value flag · 2/X at 15.9 — our 11% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
-8% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
34.4 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
410 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
30.10.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOK
04.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
12.05.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-4 HT 0-4 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.08.2023 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
16.05.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
2-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.66 xG 0.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
326 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo squeezed past Fredrikstad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 43% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 57%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.66 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.17 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

KFUM Oslo 2-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 43%, draw 30%, Fredrikstad 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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