Rio Ave U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.50/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
02.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 and Gil Vicente U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente U23 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 54% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 46%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 2.00 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Rio Ave U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 28%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente U23 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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