Rio Ave U23 0-3 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.03
+41% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
0-3
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 swept aside Rio Ave U23 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 59% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 41%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Rio Ave U23 0-3 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 45%, draw 27%, Gil Vicente U23 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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