Famalicao U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.2pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 15%
-75% / -75% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.39
+103% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +66%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
05.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 and Leixoes U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Famalicao U23 carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 59% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 41%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Famalicao U23 and 1.00 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Famalicao U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 63%, draw 19%, Leixoes U23 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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