Torreense U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.99/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.04
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting Braga U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torreense U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 51% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 49%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Torreense U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 46%, draw 21%, Sporting Braga U23 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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