Arsenal U19 1-2 Olympiakos U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.12/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.56
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos U19
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
09.12.2015 Olympiakos U19 Olympiakos U19 2-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal U19 Arsenal U19 UEGL
29.09.2015 Arsenal U19 Arsenal U19 3-2 HT 1-1 Olympiakos U19 Olympiakos U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U19
1-2
AWAY Olympiakos U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal U19 vs Olympiakos U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos U19 squeezed past Arsenal U19 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal U19 had 56% of the ball to Olympiakos U19's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal U19 and 2.00 for Olympiakos U19.

What was the final score of Arsenal U19 vs Olympiakos U19?

Arsenal U19 1-2 Olympiakos U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U19 vs Olympiakos U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U19 45%, draw 27%, Olympiakos U19 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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