Napoli U19 1-1 Sporting CP U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2025

Napoli U19
1-1 HT 0-1
Sporting CP U19
📅01/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli U19 v Sporting CP U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.67
-31% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +91%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
5.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Napoli U19 1-1 Sporting CP U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli U19
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP U19
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli U19 and Sporting CP U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting CP U19 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Napoli U19 had 33% of the ball to Sporting CP U19's 67%, shots finished 4-24.

What was the final score of Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Napoli U19 1-1 Sporting CP U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Napoli U19 23%, draw 19%, Sporting CP U19 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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