Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Newcastle United U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise U19 v Newcastle United U19 — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise U19 2-0 Newcastle United U19 — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise U19 saw off Newcastle United U19 2-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle United U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise U19 had 29% of the ball to Newcastle United U19's 71%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.46 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newcastle United U19.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Newcastle United U19?
Union Saint-Gilloise U19 2-0 Newcastle United U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Newcastle United U19?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise U19 22%, draw 19%, Newcastle United U19 59%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.