Lincoln Red Imps U19 4-1 Naxxar Lions U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.5pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln Red Imps U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lincoln Red Imps U19 vs Naxxar Lions U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln Red Imps U19 ran out comfortable winners over Naxxar Lions U19 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lincoln Red Imps U19 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Lincoln Red Imps U19 vs Naxxar Lions U19?

Lincoln Red Imps U19 4-1 Naxxar Lions U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln Red Imps U19 vs Naxxar Lions U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln Red Imps U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lincoln Red Imps U19 60%, draw 19%, Naxxar Lions U19 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln Red Imps U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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