Monaco U19 3-5 Manchester City U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
8%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.8pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.45/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.54
+106% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
Crosses 11.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco U19
3-5
AWAY Manchester City U19
1.63 xG 3.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Monaco U19 vs Manchester City U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U19 got the better of Monaco U19 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City U19 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Monaco U19 had 51% of the ball to Manchester City U19's 49%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.63 to 3.12.

What was the final score of Monaco U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Monaco U19 3-5 Manchester City U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monaco U19 28%, draw 18%, Manchester City U19 54%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U19), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Over 2.5
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