Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Omaha v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Union Omaha 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha squeezed past Portland Hearts of Pine 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Omaha had 64% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 36%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.38 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Omaha's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Omaha and 2.50 for Portland Hearts of Pine.
What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Union Omaha 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 64%, draw 16%, Portland Hearts of Pine 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.