Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 16 Jun 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine
3-1 HT 0-1
Union Omaha
📅16/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portland Hearts of Pine v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.02
+38% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
21.0 Crosses 20.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Omaha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 2.47
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
159 Passes 383
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1

Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
3-1
AWAY Union Omaha
0.60 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
336 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine got the better of Union Omaha 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Portland Hearts of Pine made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 55% of the ball to Union Omaha's 45%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.60 to 1.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 36%, draw 30%, Union Omaha 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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