Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
3-2
HT 2-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence edged past Greenville Triumph 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Charlotte Independence made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 40% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 34%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph), BTTS Yes went the other way.