Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greenville Triumph v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
3-2
HT 2-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
1-3
HT 0-2
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Greenville Triumph 1-0 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph edged past Charlotte Independence 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Greenville Triumph had 50% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 50%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Greenville Triumph's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.33 for Charlotte Independence.
What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Greenville Triumph 1-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 42%, draw 29%, Charlotte Independence 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.