Aurora 2-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
1.58/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.51
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 71%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.5 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.72 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 238
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
19.04.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
06.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
05.03.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
11.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
28.09.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
2-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.56 xG 0.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
24 Total Shots 7
14 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
335 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora beat Independiente Petrolero 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Aurora had 51% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 49%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.56 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aurora and 1.67 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?

Aurora 2-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aurora 53%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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