Lille 1-1 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Nov 2024

Lille
1-1 HT 1-0
Lyon
📅01/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lille vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.97
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✓
10%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.15
X/2
12%
6.61
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.65 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.68
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.4 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lille vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lyon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.66
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 360
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Lille Lille 3-4 HT 2-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
07.02.2024 Lyon Lyon 2-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FRK
26.11.2023 Lyon Lyon 0-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
10.03.2023 Lille Lille 3-3 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
08.02.2023 Lyon Lyon 2-2 HT 2-1 Lille Lille FRK
30.10.2022 Lyon Lyon 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1

Lille 1-1 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1-1
AWAY Lyon
1.72 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
332 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 49
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lille vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille and Lyon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lille had 47% of the ball to Lyon's 53%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.72 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lille and 2.00 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Lille vs Lyon?

Lille 1-1 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lille 37%, draw 28%, Lyon 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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