Colwyn Bay 2-1 Flint Mountain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
32%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
4.0
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
17%
+15.9pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.8pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.2pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 20%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.87/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Flint Mountain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay nicked a narrow win over Flint Mountain 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Flint Mountain?

Colwyn Bay 2-1 Flint Mountain in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Flint Mountain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 49%, draw 19%, Flint Mountain 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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