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Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Baglan Dragons — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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3-0
HT 0-0
Baglan Dragons
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) nicked a narrow win over Baglan Dragons 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 1.00 for Baglan Dragons.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Baglan Dragons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 46%, draw 29%, Baglan Dragons 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.