Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-52% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +104%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds squeezed past Newport City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City?

Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 41%, draw 26%, Newport City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Under 2.5
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