Radnik Sesvete 3-3 Orijent 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.69/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.11
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Orijent 1919
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
22.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-2 HT 1-1 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
03.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
3-3
AWAY Orijent 1919
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Orijent 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete and Orijent 1919 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 52% of the ball to Orijent 1919's 48%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 1.00 for Orijent 1919.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Orijent 1919?

Radnik Sesvete 3-3 Orijent 1919 in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Orijent 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 41%, draw 27%, Orijent 1919 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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