Stranraer 3-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
7%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 32% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Stranraer win — 38%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.21/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.86
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
149 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 169 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 6.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.03.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
04.03.2025 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
25.01.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
21.09.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
27.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer beat Forfar Athletic 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Stranraer made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stranraer and 1.33 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?

Stranraer 3-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 38%, draw 25%, Forfar Athletic 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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