Stoke City vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Stoke City
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Bristol City
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
Stoke City 5-1 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City swept aside Bristol City 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Stoke City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stoke City had 57% of the ball to Bristol City's 43%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.76 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stoke City and 1.50 for Bristol City.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Stoke City 5-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 36%, draw 25%, Bristol City 39%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.