Stoke City vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Stoke City
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Bristol City
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Bristol City
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Stoke City 2-2 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City and Bristol City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Stoke City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Stoke City had 51% of the ball to Bristol City's 49%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 0.85 to 2.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stoke City and 1.17 for Bristol City.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Stoke City 2-2 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 42%, draw 28%, Bristol City 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.