Cardiff City 2-0 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
14%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.8
X/1
22%
4.18
X/2
11%
8.66
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
6.53
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.52
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.7 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
438 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-3 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
08.08.2017 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
21.01.2012 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-2 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
27.08.2011 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
16.04.2011 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-0 HT 2-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
28.08.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
2-0
AWAY Portsmouth
2.72 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
355 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City saw off Portsmouth 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 54% of the ball to Portsmouth's 46%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.72 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cardiff City and 1.17 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Portsmouth?

Cardiff City 2-0 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 46%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
22 Oct 2024
21:45 Stoke City vs Bristol City Analysis →
21:45 Preston North End vs Norwich City Analysis →
21:45 Leeds United vs Watford Analysis →
21:45 Oxford United vs Derby County Analysis →
21:45 Sheffield Wednesday vs Swansea City Analysis →
22:00 Queens Park Rangers vs Coventry Analysis →