Leeds United 2-1 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Oct 2024

Leeds United
2-1 HT 2-0
Watford
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
23%
3.54
X/2
6%
16.35
X/X
5%
7.14
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
6%
12.65
2/X
8%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Watford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.02/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.88
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.1 Crosses 11.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Leeds United vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Watford
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Watford Watford 2-2 HT 2-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
23.09.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 3-0 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
09.04.2022 Watford Watford 0-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
02.10.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNP
20.02.2016 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
28.02.2015 Leeds United Leeds United 2-3 HT 2-1 Watford Watford İNCL

Leeds United 2-1 Watford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-1
AWAY Watford
1.84 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
376 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United nicked a narrow win over Watford 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Leeds United had 53% of the ball to Watford's 47%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Watford.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Watford?

Leeds United 2-1 Watford in the England - Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 63%, draw 20%, Watford 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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