Preston North End 2-2 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.06
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
14%
4.19
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
11%
3.64
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.32
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.0 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Norwich City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.87
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 415
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.12.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
14.01.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-4 HT 0-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
08.10.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.04.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
19.09.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 2-2 HT 1-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
2-2
AWAY Norwich City
1.63 xG 0.74
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
186 Passes 541
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End and Norwich City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preston North End had 31% of the ball to Norwich City's 69%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.63 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preston North End and 1.67 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Norwich City?

Preston North End 2-2 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 41%, draw 27%, Norwich City 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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