Preston North End 0-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.62
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.3
X/2
11%
4.92
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.26
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
31%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.22/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.31
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
216 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.5 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Norwich City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.44 xG 2.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
207 Passes 409
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
14.01.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-4 HT 0-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
08.10.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 1-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
02.04.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
19.09.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 2-2 HT 1-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
04.01.2020 Preston North End Preston North End 2-4 HT 0-3 Norwich City Norwich City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
0-1
AWAY Norwich City
0.96 xG 0.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
237 Passes 447
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City edged past Preston North End 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Preston North End at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Preston North End had 40% of the ball to Norwich City's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.96 to 0.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Preston North End.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Preston North End and 2.17 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Norwich City?

Preston North End 0-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 41%, draw 26%, Norwich City 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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