Ipswich Town 1-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 28% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.29
X/2
7%
8.62
X/X
13%
5.49
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
11%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+54% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.6 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-2 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
29.12.2018 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.10.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
06.05.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.12.2017 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
23.04.2016 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL

Ipswich Town 1-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Middlesbrough
2.23 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
448 Passes 349
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 55% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 45%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.23 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.33 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough?

Ipswich Town 1-1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 50%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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