West Bromwich 0-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
10%
7.25
X/X
15%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
8%
5.75
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.64/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.42
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
22.7 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sunderland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
23.04.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-2 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
12.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 1-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
21.01.2017 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-0 HT 2-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
01.10.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
02.04.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
0-1
AWAY Sunderland
0.29 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
376 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland nicked a narrow win over West Bromwich 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, West Bromwich had 50% of the ball to Sunderland's 50%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.29 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Bromwich and 1.00 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Sunderland?

West Bromwich 0-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 48%, draw 27%, Sunderland 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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